Saturday, October 01, 2016

The Trend

  On Saturday October 1st at 12:30 PM, there's some updates at the 'real' polling sites -

The New York Times has Clinton with a 76% chance of winning, up 6 percentage points from earlier in the week.

Five Thirty Eight has Clinton with a 68% chance of winning, up 14 percentage points from earlier in the week.

The Princeton Election Consortium has Clinton with an 85% chance of winning, also up in percentage points from earlier in the week.

It's clear that since the debate Clinton has regained a strong portion of the significant lead she held earlier in the campaign. As we are now into the last month of the campaign, this is an important shift, time is running out.
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4 comments:

Glynn Kalara said...

I agree, but there are two more debates and all Drumpf needs is a draw in one of them and he'll go up 10 pts. immediately. It's unfair, but that's the way it goes. It's like gas prices they rise 5X as fast as they fall. I'm hating this election more than any I can remember. I find Drumpf so repulsive it's hard to even follow along day to day with his ranting and raving. WTF is wrong with 40% of Americans that they can support this man? It says a lot about where we are as a nation and not in a good way.

1:37 PM
Jim Sande said...

I hear you, but still, time is not on Trump's side.
Check out the comment section at this Breitbart article and catch the drift -

Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton Statistically Tied in New Poll of Florida Voters

2:32 PM
Glynn Kalara said...

What really bothers me is how volatile these polls are. She jumps 14 pts. in a few days. She could just as easily fall 14 mts. in another few days. This is scary.

8:17 PM
Jim Sande said...

Except that so far, it's all been in her favor. With the NY Times tax release on Saturday night, Trump has got a lot of explaining to do. When you're on the defensive, you're in trouble. Trump had what is being described as the worst week in political presidential campaign history with - thee debate, his bizarre responses, his war with Machado, and to top it off his taxes showing he paid $0 for probably every year. Watch what the polls look like on Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday.

7:28 AM

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