Monday, October 03, 2016

Poll Update

  On Monday October 3rd at 4:15 PM:

The New York Times has Clinton with a 77% chance of winning.

Five Thirty Eight has Clinton with a 70% chance of winning.

Daily Kos has Clinton with a 72% chance of winning.

The Huffington Post has Clinton with an 84% chance of winning.

The Princeton Election Consortium has Clinton with an 86% chance of winning.

  In one fatal week for Donald Trump starting with his horrendous debate performance last Monday, then Trump attacking Machado for several days slut shaming the former beauty queen culminating with an epic Tweet storm on Friday at 3 AM, then the NY Times revelation of his massive roughly $1 Billion business loss in 1995 resulting in Trump likely not paying taxes since, and his unhinged meltdown at his Saturday speech in Pennsylvania, Trump has steadily lost significant ground in the polls while Clinton has significantly gained.

  Trump is sunk.

3 comments:

Glynn Kalara said...

I wouldn't be so quick to say he's sunk. The polls are extremely volatile this year and with as much as 15% of the voters either saying their going to vote 3 rd party or not vote this yr. I wouldn't put as much trust in any of them quite yet. I don't think we'll really know how this is probably going to play out until the week before the election. Look at how close it still is in Fla., Ohio, Pa, Nevada, and N.C. I'm happy she's going up in the polls though at this juncture that's a good thing and if she can keep it going in that direction for the rest of the month as we hope she will then by the last week barring some dramatic event, she'll probably have it locked up.

Jim Sande said...

I'm wondering what this leak business is all about, due out on Wednesday - Wikileaks.

Jim Sande said...

I just checked all the NY Times polls and the numbers are even better. 538 has her up around 72%. This is around 7:45, he's tanking this last week no question about it. will it stay this way? No way to tell really.