A survey of the polls this morning, Wednesday September 21st
- The NY Times has Clinton with a 75% chance of winning.
- Five Thirty Eight has Clinton with a 57% chance of winning.
- Daily Kos has Clinton with a 63% chance of winning.
- Predict Wise has Clinton with a 72% chance of winning.
- The Princeton Election Consortium has Clinton with an 81% chance of winning.
Generally speaking Clinton supporters might wish to see the percentages higher, but considering the numbers, imagine if Clinton were in Trump's position.
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2 comments:
538 is the outlier and I think it's as I've said before mainly because Nate got burned badly by his primary call on Donald being so off. I sure hope he dead wrong again.
A lot of his stuff seems more about the state polls which now have Trump ahead in Ohio, Florida, and Nevada. Yet, other outfits like the NY Times don't have all those states in Trump's brackets. As long as the lineup has Trump down, right now I'm looking at it collectively, take them all in and go with Clinton leading with 7 weeks to go. Plus she seems to be holding so far this week, which 538 said was critical.
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