Saturday, August 13, 2016

By The Numbers

On Saturday August 13th at 8:30 a.m. ET -

Five Thirty Eight has Clinton with an 87.5% chance of winning with 359.4 electoral votes.

The New York Times has Clinton with an 88% chance of winning with 347 electoral votes.

The Princeton Election Consortium has Clinton with an 87% chance of winning with 342 electoral votes.

Clinton's number have slightly improved over the last 2 days. She is holding her lead going into week three after the convention. Week three is significant because generally speaking, whoever is leading at that point, wins in November. However, it is indeed an unusual election cycle.

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