Nate's Latest

  At the moment Clinton appears to be holding a lead according to Five Thirty Eight. Today Five Thirty Eight has her with a 60% chance of winning in November. Hillary Clinton could get a typical bounce next week post convention, that would be in the range of 3 or 4 points, or she could get no bounce at all, or perhaps a large bounce of 9 points. So we have to wait and see.

Five Thirty Eight: Where The Election Goes From Here By Nate Silver