Underperformer

 Washington Post: As Biden and Trump battle for White voters, district-level polls are revealing - Opinion by Greg Sargent

Wasserman: In my 13 years of covering House races, this is probably the most consistent cycle I’ve seen: Trump is underperforming his 2016 margins by eight to 10 points in most competitive districts. If Trump won a district by three last time, he’s probably losing it by six this time. It’s a pretty consistent pattern.

There are exceptions. The first is, in districts that are heavy on upscale suburbs, Trump is underperforming his 2016 margins by even more — over 10 points. Examples include Indiana’s 5th district in the Indianapolis suburbs, Missouri’s 2nd in the St. Louis suburbs, or Arizona’s 6th in the Phoenix suburbs.