Thursday, October 29, 2020
Thursday Morning 538
This is the same odds that we saw on Wednesday. The polls so far have been relatively firm. At this point we probably just want to get to election day, we're just passing through this last week crossing our fingers and wanting a little stability. My own sense is that Biden has a very good shot at winning and the wrinkle is how deeply Trump and his authoritarian anti-democracy minions can mess with the election and steal it for Trump. This is the dynamic we're watching play out. If Biden can pull off a convincing win, it's hard for me to imagine that the majority of Americans are going to roll over and allow Trump to presume that he is the winner anyhow. We're not going to stand for that kind of nonsense.
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2 comments:
Love it!! 538 is moving in the right direction. Trump and his asslickers are trying to claim millions of NEW trump voters are suddenly appearing everywhere. He's trying to project his rallies as proof of this. They ONLY prove how abysmally stupid the people that come to them are not that they're in the majority. Generally this time around the MSM isn't playing along.
I expect it to tighten still. The good news is that Biden has that greater than 5 point lead, at least so far. Biden is working Georgia and they're working Texas, which tells me that their internal polling is positive. Tuesday is going to be a roller coaster, hang on.
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